08 Apr Energy Costs Won’t Fall Quickly Despite Iran-US Ceasefire, says Fidelity Energy CEO
Following the announcement of a ceasefire between the US, Israel and Iran, John Haw, CEO of Fidelity Energy, has shared his view on what this means for energy prices — and why businesses shouldn’t expect costs to fall in line with the headlines. The key point is that even if tensions ease, pricing doesn’t reset immediately. Risk is still being built into forward contracts, meaning businesses renewing in the coming months could continue to face elevated costs.
“Even if a ceasefire holds, businesses shouldn’t assume prices will quickly return to pre-conflict levels. Energy markets don’t simply reset when tensions ease. They price in risk over time, and that’s reflected in forward contracts. While recent developments may reduce some of the ‘fear premium’, there are still additional costs built in to account for ongoing uncertainty and underlying pressures. From potential supply disruption to longer-term impacts like damaged infrastructure, these will continue to influence pricing. It’s worth noting that the pricing we are seeing in the markets today is still well below that of the last energy crisis.” “We’re already seeing that in practice. One large gas user we work with was quoted around £191,000 per year at the end of January, and that’s now closer to £235,000 for the same contract window.” “For many businesses, the impact of events like this isn’t just immediate, it carries forward into pricing for months afterward. That creates a lag between what’s happening in the headlines and what businesses actually pay, making it important to stay engaged with the market and consider options at the right time.”. – John Haw, CEO of Fidelity Energy

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